Max Purcell vs Andres AndradeKingston 2 Quarter-final

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#1046ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Centre Court · 3rd on
#243ATP
1505ELO
1427Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLL
Purcell M.
3-6 3-6
Andrade A.
Purcell M.
330
Andrade A.
662

Andres Andrade defeated Max Purcell in the quarterfinals of the Kingston 2 hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3. Andrade converted 57% of his break points and secured four service breaks, compared to one for Purcell. Andrade also had a higher first-serve win percentage, at 81%, than Purcell, at 58%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
61%
1st serve points won·
67%
2nd serve points won·
47%
Service points won·
59%
Return points won·
42%
Break points saved·
59%
Aces / match·
2.5
Double faults / match·
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
32
44
Break points saved·Dominant
87
53
Break points won·Dominant
11
50
Deciding sets·Clear edge
62
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Purcell M.86%
Andrade A.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Purcell M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
54

Purcell M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d) · Andrade A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 90%

Draw