Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Andres AndradeKingston 2 Round of 16

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#351ATP
1303ELO
1237Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Grandstand · 4th on
#243ATP
1505ELO
1427Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLL
Marrero Curbelo I.
4-6 2-6
Andrade A.
Marrero Curbelo I.
420
Andrade A.
662

Andres Andrade defeated Ivan Marrero Curbelo 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Kingston 2 hard-court tournament. Andrade hit one ace and three double faults, while converting 40 percent of his break points and winning 81 percent of his first-serve points. Marrero Curbelo had no aces and four double faults, converting 25 percent of his break points and winning 65 percent of his first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-14M25 Santo Domingo 2R16hardAndres Andrade6-3 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Marrero Curbelo I.45%
Andrade A.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1237
Surface ELO
7.4+189 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1302
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1505
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
54

Marrero Curbelo I.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Andrade A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw