Fangran Tian vs Tereza ValentovaPhilly Open - Philadelphia Round of 16

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#256WTA
1470ELO
1451Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
#57WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
Tian F.
3-6 1-6
Valentova T.
Tian F.
310
Valentova T.
662

Tereza Valentova defeated Fangran Tian 6-3, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the Philly Open in Philadelphia. Valentova hit one ace and four double faults, while Tian had no aces and one double fault. Valentova won 88% of her first-serve points and converted 33% of her break points, ultimately securing five service breaks to Tian's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Tian F.23%
Valentova T.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Valentova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.7Hard Elo 1451
Surface ELO
9.3+346 Hard Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1470
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 1818
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.5Won 75% in USA (48)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
68

Tian F.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Valentova T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw