Darja Semenistaja vs Alexandra ShubladzeUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
#109WTA
1654ELO
1568Hard ELO
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 4 · 3rd on
#190WTA
1515ELO
1497Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLWWWW
Semenistaja D.
7-6 6-4
Shubladze A.
Semenistaja D.
7762
Shubladze A.
6540

Darja Semenistaja defeated Alexandra Shubladze 7-6, 6-4 in the qualifying 64 round of the US Open. Semenistaja hit 2 double faults and converted 56% of her break points, while Shubladze hit 7 double faults and converted 44%. Semenistaja won 5 service breaks to Shubladze's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
53%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
0.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Semenistaja D.35%
Shubladze A.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shubladze A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+71 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1497
6.7Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1514
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
70
73

Semenistaja D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Shubladze A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw