Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Carlos Maria ZarateM15 Mar Del Plata Round of 32

M15 Mar Del Plata · ITF · Round of 32
#1711ATP
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
clay
#377ATP
1200ELO
1187Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWLW
Mouilleron Salvo M.
3-6 4-6
Maria Zarate C.
Mouilleron Salvo M.
340
Maria Zarate C.
662

Carlos Maria Zarate defeated Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the M15 Mar Del Plata. Zarate served one ace and committed three double faults, while Mouilleron Salvo did not record an ace and made two double faults. Zarate won 69% of his first serves and converted 42% of his break points, compared to Mouilleron Salvo's 48% first-serve win percentage and 43% break-point conversion rate.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
77%
54%
1st serve points won·Dominant
42%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
47%
Service points won·Clear edge
42%
59%
Return points won·Clear edge
29%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
38%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Mouilleron Salvo M.21%
Maria Zarate C.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Maria Zarate C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
15°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw