Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Jurij RodionovUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 64
#236ATP
1468ELO
1478Hard ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 14 · 1st on
#143ATP
1636ELO
1584Hard ELO
$206kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWWW
Ferreira Silva F.
2-6 6-3 1-6
Rodionov J.
Ferreira Silva F.
2611
Rodionov J.
6362

Jurij Rodionov defeated Frederico Ferreira Silva in the US Open qualifying round 64. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 in favor of Rodionov. Key stats included Rodionov's 10 aces and 71% break point conversion rate, compared to Ferreira Silva's 4 aces and 25% break point conversion rate.

Key context

  • Match story: Jurij Rodionov closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2015-11-09Egypt F39R16hardFrederico Ferreira Silva6-3 5-7 7-6(6)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.6
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
15
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
75
Break points won·Clear edge
26
2
Deciding sets·Slight edge
56
45
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
6
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Ferreira Silva F.34%
Rodionov J.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Rodionov J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1478
Surface ELO
6.3+105 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1468
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1636
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
64

Ferreira Silva F.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Rodionov J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw