Colton Smith vs Andrea Pellegrino — US Open Qualifying Round of 256
Smith C.
Colton Smith defeated Andrea Pellegrino 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 in the second round of US Open qualifying. Smith hit 10 aces to Pellegrino's 5 and won 74 percent of his first-serve points, compared to Pellegrino's 61 percent. Smith converted 20 percent of his break points and won three service breaks to Pellegrino's two.
Key context
- Match story: Colton Smith dropped the opening set before beating Andrea Pellegrino 4–6 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Smith C. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadSmith C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Pellegrino A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About