Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Diane ParryMonterrey Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 16
#46WTA
1773ELO
1572Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
#50WTA
1747ELO
1653Hard ELO
$515kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLLL
Oliynykova O.
4-6 6-7
Parry D.
Oliynykova O.
4630
Parry D.
6772

Diane Parry defeated Oleksandra Oliynykova in the semifinals of the Monterrey tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 7-6 in favor of Parry. Parry hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, winning 58% of her first serves and converting 50% of break points; Oliynykova had 1 ace and 1 double fault, winning 48% of her first serves and converting 100% of break points.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-24WimbledonQ128grassDiane Parry6-1 3-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
44
Break points saved·Dominant
75
45
Break points won·Dominant
99
21
Deciding sets·Even
80
84
Tiebreaks·
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Oliynykova O.35%
Parry D.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Parry D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
6.0+81 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1773
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1747
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
83
50

Oliynykova O.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Parry D.: played today · 4 matches, 97 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw