Coleman Wong vs Lukas Neumayer — US Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 64
HKG
Coleman Wong
#94ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$287kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 11 · 2nd on
AUT
Lukas Neumayer
#191ATP
1621ELO
1480Hard ELO
$136kYTD
$576kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLLLL
Wong C.
6-3 6-3
Neumayer L.
Wong C.
662
Neumayer L.
330

Coleman Wong defeated Lukas Neumayer 6-3, 6-3 in the US Open qualifying round 64. Wong hit 9 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Neumayer had 4 aces and 4 double faults. Wong converted 36% of his break points and won 89% of his first-serve points, securing 4 service breaks to Neumayer's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Wong C.Neumayer L.
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.7
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Wong C.Neumayer L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
25
40
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
71
Break points won·Dominant
11
62
Deciding sets·Even
11
11
Tiebreaks·Even
82
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Wong C.72%
Neumayer L.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Wong C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Wong C.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Neumayer L.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+112 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1480
4.8Overall Elo 1602
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1621
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Wong C.Neumayer L.
Freshness·Dominant
61
86

Wong C.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 84 games (7d) · Neumayer L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw