Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Tena LukasW50 Oldenzaal Round of 32

W50 Oldenzaal · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#862WTA
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
clay
#422WTA
1356ELO
1344Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLL
Gabriela Vasilescu A.
6-3 4-6 1-6
Lukas T.
Gabriela Vasilescu A.
6411
Lukas T.
3662

Tena Lukas defeated Arina Gabriela Vasilescu in the Round of 16 at the W50 Oldenzaal tournament on clay, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-4, 6-1. Lukas served six aces to Vasilescu's zero and converted 50% of her break points, compared to Vasilescu's 31%. Lukas won 70% of her first-serve points, while Vasilescu won 54%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
42%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
52%
50%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Gabriela Vasilescu A.32%
Lukas T.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lukas T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
69
69

Gabriela Vasilescu A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d) · Lukas T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw