Daniel Rincon vs Jordan LeeUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 64
#208ATP
1522ELO
1514Hard ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 12 · 1st on
USAWC
Jordan Lee
16 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLW
Rincon D.
6-3 4-6 6-1
Lee J.
Rincon D.
6462
Lee J.
3611

Daniel Rincon defeated Jordan Lee in the US Open qualifying round 64. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 in favor of Rincon. Key stats included 5 aces and 2 double faults for Rincon, compared to 6 aces and 4 double faults for Lee; Rincon converted 44% of break points and broke Lee's serve 4 times, while Lee converted 25% of break points and broke Rincon's serve once.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Rincon came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–3 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Rincon D.Lee J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
48%
35%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Clear edge
41%
29%
Break points saved·Dominant
54%
20%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Rincon D.83%
Lee J.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Rincon D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Lee J.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rincon D.Lee J.
Freshness·Slight edge
66
75

Rincon D.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d) · Lee J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw