Sebastian Sorger vs J. KupcicM25 Maribor Round of 32

M25 Maribor · ITF · Round of 32
#408ATP
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
clay
#1170ATP
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
Sorger S.
6-0 6-1
Kupcic J.
Sorger S.
662
Kupcic J.
010

Sebastian Sorger defeated J. Kupcic in the Round of 32 at the M25 Maribor tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-0, 6-1 in favor of Sorger. Sorger converted all five of his break points and won 76% of his first-serve points to secure the win.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-11-01M15 Monastir 44R32hardJ. Kupcic6-2 6-4
2023-06-29M15 Celje 1R16claySebastian Sorger7-5 7-6(1)
2023-02-19M15 Sharm ElSheikh 4Q64hardSebastian Sorger6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Sorger S.72%
Kupcic J.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sorger S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
1.41 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw