Francisca Jorge vs Mia Ristic — US Open Qualifying Round of 64
US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 14 · 1st on
Jorge F.1-6 3-6
Ristic M.
Jorge F.
130
Ristic M.
662
Mia Ristic defeated Francisca Jorge 6-1, 5-3 in the qualifying 64 round of the US Open. Ristic converted 45% of her break points and secured five service breaks, compared to Jorge's one. The match saw Ristic win 73% of her first-serve points and commit one double fault, equaling Jorge's total.
Key context
- Match story: Mia Ristic dropped just 4 games past Francisca Jorge.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCJorge F.50%
Ristic M.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
6.8+144 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.2Hard Elo 1366
5.3Overall Elo 1525
ELO gap4.7Overall Elo 1504
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.44 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 47%