Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington JonesUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 64
#108ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 7 · 2nd on
#165ATP
1557ELO
1547Hard ELO
$226kYTD
$568kCAREER
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLLLW
Virtanen O.
2-6 7-6 6-3
Pinnington Jones J.
Virtanen O.
27862
Pinnington Jones J.
66631

Otto Virtanen defeated Jack Pinnington Jones in the US Open qualifying round 64. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Virtanen. Virtanen served 7 aces and committed 8 double faults, while converting 50% of break points and winning 3 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
45%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.3
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
15
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
82
89
Break points won·Dominant
1
50
Deciding sets·Dominant
39
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
13
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Virtanen O.72%
Pinnington Jones J.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Virtanen O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+127 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1547
6.9Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1557
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.94 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
74
72

Virtanen O.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Pinnington Jones J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw