Ryan Nijboer vs Carles Hernandez — M25 Oviedo Round of 16
Nijboer R.
Carles Hernandez defeated Ryan Nijboer in the quarterfinals of the M25 Oviedo tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 5-7, 7-6. Hernandez and Nijboer were evenly matched in service breaks, each securing five breaks. Despite being out-aced 12-3 and out-winning on first serve 68-64 percent, Hernandez converted 83 percent of his break points to Nijboer's 33 percent.
Key context
- Match story: Carles Hernandez edged Ryan Nijboer in three tight sets (6–4 5–7 7–6).
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-28 | M25 Oviedo 1 | R16 | clay | Ryan Nijboer | 6-4 6-3 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Nijboer R. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadNijboer R.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About