Toby Samuel vs Billy Harris — US Open Qualifying Round of 64
US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 64
GBR#110ATP
1745ELO
1729Hard ELO
$217kYTD
$332kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 2nd on
GBR#161ATP
1508ELO
1473Hard ELO
$236kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWWLW
Samuel T.4-6 6-1 6-4
Harris B.
Samuel T.
4662
Harris B.
6141
Toby Samuel defeated Billy Harris in the US Open qualifying round 64. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 in favor of Samuel. Samuel hit 8 aces and converted 43% of break points, ultimately securing 6 service breaks to Harris' 4.
Key context
- Match story: Toby Samuel dropped the opening set before beating Billy Harris 4–6 6–1 6–4.
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-15 | M25 Nottingham 4 | F | grass | Toby Samuel | 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
2.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCSamuel T.78%
Harris B.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Samuel T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
8.2+256 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO1.8Hard Elo 1473
8.0Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap2.0Overall Elo 1508
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H5.0First meeting on hard
8.69 of last 10 on hard
Surface form3.94 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts6.0Reached the R128 here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 47%