Julia Grabher vs Ashlyn KruegerPhilly Open - Philadelphia Round of 16

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#114WTA
1613ELO
1486Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
#62WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWWWW
Grabher J.
6-4 6-4
Krueger A.
Grabher J.
662
Krueger A.
440

Julia Grabher defeated Ashlyn Krueger 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the Philly Open in Philadelphia. Grabher served 4 aces to Krueger's 1 and converted 100 percent of her break points, compared to Krueger's 33 percent. Grabher won 5 service breaks to Krueger's 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Julia Grabher edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
4.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.0
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
16
59
Break points saved·Dominant
4
39
Break points won·Dominant
60
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
87
Tiebreaks·
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Grabher J.12%
Krueger A.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Krueger A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1486
Surface ELO
8.0+237 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1613
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1791
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.03 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.6Won 60% in USA (101)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
62
86

Grabher J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d) · Krueger A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw