Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexis GalarneauUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 64
#134ATP
1640ELO
1624Hard ELO
$304kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 14 · 3rd on
#183ATP
1593ELO
1548Hard ELO
$177kYTD
$837kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLWW
Svrcina D.
7-6 6-2
Galarneau A.
Svrcina D.
7762
Galarneau A.
6320

Dalibor Svrcina defeated Alexis Galarneau in the US Open qualifying round 64. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-2 in favor of Svrcina. Svrcina served 4 aces and committed 5 double faults, while Galarneau had 1 ace and 2 double faults; Svrcina won 63% of first-serve points and converted 43% of break points, compared to Galarneau's 46% and 40%, respectively; Svrcina achieved 6 service breaks to Galarneau's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
27
28
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
79
Break points won·Dominant
85
16
Deciding sets·Clear edge
6
22
Tiebreaks·
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Svrcina D.61%
Galarneau A.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Svrcina D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+76 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1548
5.6Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1593
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
63
78

Svrcina D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Galarneau A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw