Chase Ferguson vs Yua TakaM15 Maanshan Round of 32

M15 Maanshan · ITF · Round of 32
#640ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
#1571ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLWL
Ferguson C.
6-3 7-6
Taka Y.
Ferguson C.
6772
Taka Y.
3640

Chase Ferguson defeated Yua Taka in the Round of 32 at the M15 Maanshan hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-6 in favor of Ferguson. Key stats included 3 aces and 2 double faults for Ferguson, compared to 2 aces and 3 double faults for Taka.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
71%
1st serve points won·
67%
2nd serve points won·
52%
Service points won·
62%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
64%
Aces / match·
2.6
Double faults / match·
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Ferguson C.70%
Taka Y.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ferguson C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.43 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw