Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic — US Open Qualifying Round of 64
Fearnley J.
Jacob Fearnley defeated Luka Pavlovic 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 in the qualifying 64 round of the US Open. Fearnley hit 2 aces and 9 double faults, while converting 44% of break points and winning 79% of first-serve points. Pavlovic recorded 11 aces and 3 double faults, converting 33% of break points and winning 71% of first-serve points.
Key context
- Match story: Jacob Fearnley edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–7 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Fearnley J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFearnley J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Pavlovic L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About