Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl — US Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
Nicolas Mejia
COL
Nicolas Mejia
#115ATP
1477ELO
1424Hard ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 5th on
Liam Draxl
CAN
Liam Draxl
#217ATP
1592ELO
1565Hard ELO
$201kYTD
$642kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWL
Mejia N.
4-6 7-6 4-6
Draxl L.
Mejia N.
47741
Draxl L.
66562

Liam Draxl defeated Nicolas Mejia in the US Open qualifying second round. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-6, 4-6 in favor of Draxl. Draxl hit 11 aces to Mejia's 4 and converted 45% of break points to Mejia's 33%, with Draxl also securing 5 service breaks to Mejia's 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Liam Draxl edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Mejia N.Draxl L.
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
56%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mejia N.Draxl L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
74
83
Break points won·Dominant
6
36
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Mejia N.52%
Draxl L.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mejia N.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Draxl L.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1424
Surface ELO
6.8+141 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1477
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1592
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.14 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.16 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mejia N.Draxl L.
Freshness·Dominant
79
53

Mejia N.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Draxl L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 86 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw