Kyrian Jacquet vs Aziz DougazUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 64
#107ATP
1685ELO
1663Hard ELO
$269kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 16 · 1st on
#520ATP
1390ELO
1374Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Jacquet K.
4-6 6-4 4-6
Dougaz A.
Jacquet K.
4641
Dougaz A.
6462

Aziz Dougaz defeated Kyrian Jacquet 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 in the qualifying 64 round of the US Open. Dougaz hit 5 aces and 8 double faults, while winning 74 percent of his first serves and converting 67 percent of his break points. He won 4 service breaks to Jacquet's 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Aziz Dougaz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQ1clayAziz Dougaz6-7 7-5 7-5
2024-05-21Roland GarrosQ128clayAziz Dougaz6-7(4) 7-5 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
6.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
47
8
Break points saved·Even
87
86
Break points won·Dominant
27
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
2
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Jacquet K.64%
Dougaz A.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jacquet K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+289 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1374
8.7Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1390
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
66

Jacquet K.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Dougaz A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw