Timofey Skatov vs Grigor DimitrovUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 64
#205ATP
1544ELO
1479Hard ELO
$110kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium 17 · 2nd on
#137ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$329kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWWL
Skatov T.
6-7 4-6
Dimitrov G.
Skatov T.
6540
Dimitrov G.
7762

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Timofey Skatov in the US Open qualifying 64 round. The match ended with a 7-6, 6-4 victory for Dimitrov. Dimitrov served 17 aces and converted one of six break points en route to the win.

Around the match

  • Dimitrov, a former top-10 player plagued by repeated injuries, is desperately trying to claw his way into the main draw after winning his first qualifying round in straight sets.

  • World No. 1 Jannik Sinner withdraws with knee injury; Sinner was defending finalist and former champion, significantly opening the title race.

    Dimitrov G.Yahoo Sports

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR128clayGrigor Dimitrov6-0 6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
8.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
17
86
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
98
Break points won·Dominant
14
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Skatov T.24%
Dimitrov G.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dimitrov G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1479
Surface ELO
8.2+256 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1544
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1744
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.14 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
84

Skatov T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Dimitrov G.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw