Yaroslav Demin vs Tristan MccormickM25 Oviedo Round of 16

M25 Oviedo · ITF · Round of 16
#666ATP
20 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
clay
#718ATP
1086ELO
1084Clay ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWLL
Demin Y.
5-7 6-4 6-1
Mccormick T.
Demin Y.
5662
Mccormick T.
7411

Yaroslav Demin defeated Tristan Mccormick in the Round of 16 at the M25 Oviedo tournament on clay, prevailing 5-7, 6-4, 6-1. Demin hit 8 aces and 8 double faults, winning 83% of his first serves and converting 45% of break points. He secured 5 service breaks to Mccormick's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
33%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.7
7.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
9.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Demin Y.35%
Mccormick T.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mccormick T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.32 of last 8 on clay
Surface form
3.33 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw