Taro Daniel vs Andrew JohnsonUS Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
#160ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium 17 · 5th on
#799ATP
17 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLWL
Daniel T.
6-2 2-6 4-6
Johnson A.
Daniel T.
6241
Johnson A.
2662

Andrew Johnson defeated Taro Daniel in the US Open qualifying second round. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 2-6, 4-6 in Johnson's favor. Johnson and Daniel tied with 4 aces each; Johnson had 5 double faults and Daniel had 4; Johnson won 58% of his first serves and Daniel won 52%; Johnson converted 54% of break points and Daniel converted 43%; Johnson had 7 service breaks and Daniel had 6.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Daniel T.80%
Johnson A.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Daniel T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
77

Daniel T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Johnson A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw