Fiona Crawley vs Ekaterina OvcharenkoPhilly Open - Philadelphia Round of 16

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#264WTA
1591ELO
1550Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
#639WTA
1306ELO
1257Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLLWL
Crawley F.
6-4 6-3
Ovcharenko E.
Crawley F.
662
Ovcharenko E.
430

Fiona Crawley advanced to the quarterfinals of the Philly Open with a 6-4, 6-3 victory over Ekaterina Ovcharenko in the Round of 16. Crawley served 0 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Ovcharenko served 1 ace and made 6 double faults. Crawley won 77% of her first serves and converted 55% of her break points, compared to Ovcharenko's 61% and 75%, respectively; Crawley broke Ovcharenko's serve 6 times and was broken 3 times.

Key context

  • Match story: Fiona Crawley closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Crawley F.83%
Ovcharenko E.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Crawley F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+293 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1257
8.6Overall Elo 1591
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1306
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in USA (90)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
77

Crawley F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Ovcharenko E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw