Matteo Covato vs Luca WiedenmannM25 Oldenzaal Round of 32

M25 Oldenzaal · ITF · Round of 32
#742ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
clay
#539ATP
28 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWLWW
Covato M.
4-6 4-6
Wiedenmann L.
Covato M.
440
Wiedenmann L.
662

Luca Wiedenmann defeated Matteo Covato 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Oldenzaal tournament on clay. Wiedenmann hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 80% of his first serves and converting 40% of break points. He secured 4 service breaks to Covato's 2, advancing in the competition.

Key context

  • Match story: Luca Wiedenmann edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Clear edge
30%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Covato M.13%
Wiedenmann L.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Wiedenmann L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.32 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Wiedenmann L.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw