Elvina Kalieva vs Sofia CostoulasUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
#115WTA
1569ELO
1540Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium 17 · 2nd on
#155WTA
1565ELO
1569Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWLWW
Kalieva E.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Costoulas S.
Kalieva E.
3662
Costoulas S.
6341

Elvina Kalieva defeated Sofia Costoulas in the US Open qualifying round 64. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 in favor of Kalieva. Key stats included 5 aces and 4 service breaks for Kalieva, compared to 4 aces and 3 service breaks for Costoulas.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-08W35 Santo Domingo 1QFhardElvina Kalieva6-7(6) 6-4 6-0
2023-05-19W25 Feld am SeeSFclaySofia Costoulas6-2 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
83
Break points saved·Dominant
28
83
Break points won·Slight edge
87
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
96
Tiebreaks·
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Kalieva E.48%
Costoulas S.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1540
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1569
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1565
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
54
73

Kalieva E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d) · Costoulas S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw