Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina — US Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
ITA
Luca Nardi
#238ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Retired
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 13 · 4th on
ITA
Federico Cina
#181ATP
1630ELO
1583Hard ELO
$296kYTD
$536kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWLW
Nardi L.
4-6 0-3
Cina F.
Nardi L.
400
Cina F.
632

Luca Nardi defeated Federico Cina in the US Open qualifying second round. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 0-3 in favor of Nardi. Key stats included Nardi's 3 aces and 3 double faults compared to Cina's 4 aces and 2 double faults.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Nardi L.Cina F.
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
3.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nardi L.Cina F.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
9
42
Break points saved·Even
84
87
Break points won·Clear edge
8
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
14
52
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
14
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Nardi L.40%
Cina F.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cina F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nardi L.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Cina F.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
5.1+11 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1630
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nardi L.Cina F.
Freshness·Dominant
95
57

Nardi L.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d) · Cina F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw