Niccolo Catini vs Tiago PereiraM25 Poznan Round of 32

M25 Poznan · ITF · Round of 32
#878ATP
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
clay
#352ATP
1179ELO
1200Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Catini N.
7-5 7-6
Pereira T.
Catini N.
7772
Pereira T.
5640

Niccolo Catini defeated Tiago Pereira 7-5, 7-6 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Poznan tournament on clay. Catini served 0 aces and 2 double faults, while Pereira served 3 aces and 5 double faults. Catini won 71% of first-serve points, converted 67% of break points, and made 4 service breaks, compared to Pereira's 62% first-serve win percentage, 33% break point conversion rate, and 3 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
58%
1st serve points won·Dominant
37%
64%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
67%
44%
Service points won·Clear edge
44%
56%
Return points won·Clear edge
17%
39%
Break points saved·Even
50%
48%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Catini N.28%
Pereira T.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Pereira T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.00 of last 5 on clay
Surface form
1.92 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw