Hugo Cardinaud vs Ilya Polonskiy — M15 Monastir Round of 32
M15 Monastir · ITF · Round of 32
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
RUSIlya Polonskiy
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLWWW
Cardinaud H.6-4 5-7 6-2
Polonskiy I.
Cardinaud H.
6562
Polonskiy I.
4721
Hugo Cardinaud defeated Ilya Polonskiy in the Round of 32 of the M15 Monastir tournament, winning 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 on hard courts. Cardinaud converted 69% of his break points and won 62% of his first-serve points, while Polonskiy converted 70% of his break points and won 52% of his first-serve points. Cardinaud secured 9 service breaks to Polonskiy's 7.
Key context
- Match story: Hugo Cardinaud closed it out in three sets, 6–4 5–7 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCCardinaud H.52%
Polonskiy I.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedPolonskiy I.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
34°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 49%