Lizette Cabrera vs Mananchaya SawangkaewPhilly Open - Philadelphia Round of 16

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#294WTA
1453ELO
1418Hard ELO
28 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
#97WTA
1696ELO
1657Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWW
Cabrera L.
2-6 6-7
Sawangkaew M.
Cabrera L.
2660
Sawangkaew M.
6782

Mananchaya Sawangkaew defeated Lizette Cabrera in the Round of 16 at the Philly Open in Philadelphia, winning 6-2, 7-6 on hard courts. Sawangkaew and Cabrera were even in aces, 1-1, and double faults, 3-4. Sawangkaew converted 45% of break points and won 5 service breaks to Cabrera's 3.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-20Roland GarrosQ128clayMananchaya Sawangkaew6-4 6-2
2023-05-26W25 GoyangQFhardMananchaya Sawangkaew2-6 6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
19
84
Break points saved·Dominant
9
74
Break points won·Clear edge
69
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
97
Tiebreaks·
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Cabrera L.16%
Sawangkaew M.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sawangkaew M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1418
Surface ELO
8.0+239 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1453
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1696
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3.9Won 32% in USA (22)
Country comfort
6.1Won 68% in USA (31)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
70

Cabrera L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Sawangkaew M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw