Heather Watson vs Angela Fita BoludaUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
#445WTA
1572ELO
1548Hard ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 1st on
#212WTA
1444ELO
1288Hard ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWWL
Watson H.
6-4 5-7 7-6
Fita Boluda A.
Watson H.
65772
Fita Boluda A.
47651

Heather Watson defeated Angela Fita Boluda 6-4, 5-7, 7-6 in the qualifying 64 round of the US Open. The match saw Watson record 2 aces and 10 double faults, while Fita Boluda had 5 aces and 4 double faults. Both players secured 4 service breaks, with Watson converting 50% of her break points and Fita Boluda converting 27%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
7
64
Break points saved·Dominant
15
72
Break points won·Dominant
49
89
Deciding sets·Dominant
22
64
Tiebreaks·
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Watson H.49%
Fita Boluda A.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+260 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1288
6.6Overall Elo 1572
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1444
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
57
74

Watson H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 88 games (7d) · Fita Boluda A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw