Alevtina Ibragimova vs Mariam BolkvadzeUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
#218WTA
1508ELO
1468Hard ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 15 · 1st on
#418WTA
1479ELO
1469Hard ELO
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLL
Ibragimova A.
4-6 3-6
Bolkvadze M.
Ibragimova A.
430
Bolkvadze M.
662

Mariam Bolkvadze defeated Alevtina Ibragimova 6-4, 6-3 in the qualifying 64 round of the US Open. Bolkvadze served one ace and committed one double fault, while Ibragimova had three aces and two double faults. Bolkvadze converted 43 percent of her break points and won six service breaks to Ibragimova's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
38%
Service points won·Even
54%
52%
Return points won·Even
48%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
46%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
8.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Ibragimova A.52%
Bolkvadze M.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1468
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1508
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1479
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
72

Ibragimova A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Bolkvadze M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw