Manvydas Balciunas vs Sander JongM25 Oldenzaal Round of 32

M25 Oldenzaal · ITF · Round of 32
#1539ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
clay
#680ATP
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Balciunas M.
2-6 2-6
Jong S.
Balciunas M.
220
Jong S.
662

Sander Jong defeated Manvydas Balciunas 6-2, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Oldenzaal tournament. Jong hit 5 aces and converted 44% of his break points, while Balciunas was unable to capitalize on any of his break point opportunities. Jong won 96% of his first-serve points and secured 4 service breaks en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-25M15 AlkmaarR16claySander Jong7-6(5) 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.6
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Balciunas M.24%
Jong S.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jong S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw