Nathan Ponwith vs David BakonyiM15 Champaign Round of 32

M15 Champaign · ITF · Round of 32
#1315ATP
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
HUNWC
David Bakonyi
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Ponwith N.
6-2 6-3
Bakonyi D.
Ponwith N.
662
Bakonyi D.
230

Nathan Ponwith defeated David Bakonyi in the Round of 32 at the M15 Champaign tournament, winning 6-2, 6-3 on hard courts. Ponwith converted 56% of his break points, securing five service breaks, while Bakonyi managed one. Ponwith had zero aces and one double fault, compared to Bakonyi's three aces and three double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Ponwith N.Bakonyi D.
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
51%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Clear edge
25%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Ponwith N.32%
Bakonyi D.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bakonyi D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Bakonyi D.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2Won 53% in USA (184)
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw