Karim Ibrahim vs Andrea BacaloniM15 Hurghada Round of 32

M15 Hurghada · ITF · Round of 32
#984ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
#1450ATP
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Ibrahim K.
1-6 6-7
Bacaloni A.
Ibrahim K.
1610
Bacaloni A.
6772

Andrea Bacaloni defeated Karim Ibrahim in the Round of 32 of the M15 Hurghada tournament, winning 6-1, 7-6 on hard courts. Bacaloni and Ibrahim were even in aces with 3 each, but Bacaloni had more double faults with 5 to Ibrahim's 2. Bacaloni won 71% of first-serve points to Ibrahim's 57%, converted 36% of break points to Ibrahim's 25%, and made 4 service breaks to Ibrahim's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrea Bacaloni came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
69%
1st serve points won·
67%
2nd serve points won·
50%
Service points won·
62%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
67%
Aces / match·
2.0
Double faults / match·
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Ibrahim K.20%
Bacaloni A.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bacaloni A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw