Yue Yuan vs Julia AvdeevaUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
#138WTA
1629ELO
1610Hard ELO
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 13 · 3rd on
#185WTA
1515ELO
1490Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLLLL
Yuan Y.
6-3 6-2
Avdeeva J.
Yuan Y.
662
Avdeeva J.
320

Yue Yuan defeated Julia Avdeeva 6-3, 6-2 in the qualifying 64 round of the US Open. Yuan hit one ace and three double faults, while Avdeeva had two aces and eight double faults. Yuan converted 67% of her break points and won 86% of her first-serve points en route to the win, which included four service breaks to Avdeeva's none.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Yuan Y.62%
Avdeeva J.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Yuan Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+120 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1490
6.4Overall Elo 1629
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1514
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.83 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
83

Yuan Y.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Avdeeva J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw