M. Farzam vs Mikael ArseneaultM15 Champaign Round of 32

M15 Champaign · ITF · Round of 32
#1469ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
#1021ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Farzam M.
2-6 7-6 7-6
Arseneault M.
Farzam M.
277772
Arseneault M.
662651

Mohammad Farzam defeated Mikael Arseneault 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 in the Round of 32 at the M15 Champaign tournament. Farzam hit 4 aces and 3 double faults, while winning 60 percent of his first serves and converting 46 percent of break points. Arseneault had 3 aces, 3 double faults, 63 percent first-serve wins, and 53 percent break-point conversions.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
65%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Clear edge
25%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Farzam M.33%
Arseneault M.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Arseneault M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw