Mousa Alkotop vs Lorenzo Lorusso — M15 Hurghada Round of 32

M15 Hurghada · ITF · Round of 32
JOR
Mousa Alkotop
28 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
ITA
Lorenzo Lorusso
#1180ATP
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Alkotop M.
6-4 5-7 4-6
Lorusso L.
Alkotop M.
6541
Lorusso L.
4762

Lorenzo Lorusso defeated Mousa Alkotop in the Round of 32 of the M15 Hurghada tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 in favor of Lorusso. Key stats included Lorusso's 6 aces and 76% first-serve win percentage, compared to Alkotop's 1 ace and 65% first-serve win percentage.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Alkotop M.29%
Lorusso L.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lorusso L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alkotop M.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Lorusso L.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw