Braden Shick vs Clement TaburUS Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
#215ATP
1385ELO
1358Hard ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 15 · 1st on
#159ATP
1607ELO
1573Hard ELO
$202kYTD
$642kCAREER
26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLW
Shick B.
6-4 7-5
Tabur C.
Shick B.
672
Tabur C.
450

Braden Shick defeated Clement Tabur in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-4, 7-5. Shick hit 11 aces to Tabur's 4 and converted 27% of break points to Tabur's 8%. Shick won 3 service breaks to Tabur's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Shick B.36%
Tabur C.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tabur C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1358
Surface ELO
7.7+215 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1384
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1607
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
91

Shick B.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Tabur C.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw