Katie Swan vs Katrina Scott — US Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
Katie Swan
GBR
Katie Swan
#206WTA
1554ELO
1477Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium 17 · 2nd on
Katrina Scott
USAWC
Katrina Scott
#244WTA
1502ELO
1455Hard ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Swan K.
6-3 6-1
Scott K.
Swan K.
662
Scott K.
310

Katie Swan defeated Katrina Scott in the US Open qualifying first round, 6-3, 6-1. Swan served 3 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Scott had 1 double fault and did not convert any of her 0 break points. Swan converted 57 percent of her break points and won 4 service breaks to advance.

Around the match

  • Swan has been inactive since Wimbledon but showed good form there; her fitness and match sharpness are uncertain before US Open qualifying.

    Swan K.Last Word On Sports ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-05W60 LexingtonR16hardKatie Swan6-3 5-7 7-6(6)
2019-08-20US OpenQ128hardKatrina Scott6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
Swan K.Scott K.
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Swan K.Scott K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
49
0
Break points saved·Dominant
56
28
Break points won·Dominant
95
67
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
5
Tiebreaks·
—
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Swan K.61%
Scott K.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Swan K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Swan K.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Scott K.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1455
5.7Overall Elo 1554
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1502
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Swan K.Scott K.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
92

Swan K.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Scott K.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw