Henrique Rocha vs Michael MmohUS Open Qualifying Round of 256

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 256
#119ATP
1676ELO
1574Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$883kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 2nd on
#173ATP
1613ELO
1599Hard ELO
$87kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLLL
Rocha H.
7-5 6-4
Mmoh M.
Rocha H.
762
Mmoh M.
540

Henrique Rocha defeated Michael Mmoh 7-5, 6-4 in the second round of US Open qualifying. Rocha converted 40% of his break points and won 76% of his first-serve points to secure the win. He also committed zero double faults, compared to nine by Mmoh.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
43%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
45
49
Break points saved·Clear edge
67
84
Break points won·Even
25
26
Deciding sets·Slight edge
57
68
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Rocha H.49%
Mmoh M.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1574
Surface ELO
5.3+25 Hard Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 1676
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1613
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
91

Rocha H.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Mmoh M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw