Luis Guto Miguel vs Tyler ZinkKingston 2 Round of 16

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#850ATP
1322ELO
1267Hard ELO
17 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#325ATP
1371ELO
1351Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWWL
Guto Miguel L.
6-4 6-2
Zink T.
Guto Miguel L.
662
Zink T.
420

Luis Guto Miguel defeated Tyler Zink in the quarterfinals of the Kingston 2 hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 6-2. Miguel hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 80% of his break points and winning 87% of his first-serve points. He converted 4 service breaks to Zink's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Guto Miguel L.23%
Zink T.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zink T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1267
Surface ELO
6.0+84 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1322
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1371
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
72

Guto Miguel L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Zink T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw