Shu Matsuoka vs Marko MesarovicM15 Champaign Round of 32

M15 Champaign · ITF · Round of 32
#1216ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
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0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
#1302ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Matsuoka S.
4-6 5-7
Mesarovic M.
Matsuoka S.
450
Mesarovic M.
672

Marko Mesarovic defeated Shu Matsuoka in the quarterfinals of the M15 Champaign tournament. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 5-7 in favor of Mesarovic. Key stats included Mesarovic's 4 aces and 1 double fault compared to Matsuoka's 7 aces and 4 double faults; Mesarovic won 76% of first-serve points to Matsuoka's 68%, converted 44% of break points to Matsuoka's 67%, and made 4 service breaks to Matsuoka's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
55%
1st serve points won·
60%
2nd serve points won·
36%
Service points won·
49%
Return points won·
33%
Break points saved·
50%
Aces / match·
1.0
Double faults / match·
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Matsuoka S.42%
Mesarovic M.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.7Won 61% in USA (41)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw