Elizabeth Mandlik vs Kristina PenickovaUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#170WTA
1530ELO
1505Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 12 · 1st on
#742WTA
16 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWLL
Mandlik E.
5-7 2-6
Penickova K.
Mandlik E.
520
Penickova K.
762

Kristina Penickova defeated Elizabeth Mandlik in the first round of US Open qualifying, 7-5, 6-2. Penickova hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, while Mandlik had 1 ace and 7 double faults. Penickova converted 57% of her break points and won 4 service breaks to Mandlik's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Mandlik E.62%
Penickova K.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mandlik E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
78

Mandlik E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Penickova K.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw