Martyna Kubka vs Annika PenickovaUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#182WTA
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium 17 · 1st on
#569WTA
16 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Kubka M.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Penickova A.
Kubka M.
65662
Penickova A.
77421

Martyna Kubka defeated Annika Penickova in the US Open qualifying first round on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 in favor of Kubka. Key stats included 8 aces for both players, with Kubka committing 5 double faults and converting 62% of break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
42%
Service points won·Clear edge
64%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Kubka M.75%
Penickova A.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kubka M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 9 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
85

Kubka M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Penickova A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw