Oleksii Krutykh vs Matias SotoAugsburg Round of 32

Augsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#526ATP
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 4th on
#262ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWWWW
Krutykh O.
vs
Soto M.

Oleksii Krutykh faces Matias Soto in the Augsburg round of 32 on clay. Matias Soto holds the paper edge — ranked #262. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Krutykh O.56%
Soto M.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.08 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Krutykh O.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Soto M.

Soto M.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Krutykh O.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
21
34
Break points saved·Clear edge
65
51
Break points won·Even
16
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
60
96

Krutykh O.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 91 games (7d) · Soto M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on Court 1 · not before Followed By · 3 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Hassan B. v La Serna J.
  2. 2Stricker D. v Krumich M.
  3. 3Sanchez Martinez B. v Dellien Velasco M.
  4. 4Krutykh O. v Soto M.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
15°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 84%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw