Arantxa Rus vs Teodora KostovicUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#203WTA
1511ELO
1503Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 9 · 1st on
#171WTA
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
Rus A.
4-6 6-4 6-4
Kostovic T.
Rus A.
4662
Kostovic T.
6441

Arantxa Rus defeated Teodora Kostovic in the first round of US Open qualifying, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4. Rus hit one ace and six double faults, while Kostovic had five aces and two double faults. Rus won 74 percent of her first-serve points and converted 33 percent of her break points, ultimately taking the match with three service breaks to Kostovic's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Rus A.30%
Kostovic T.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kostovic T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1502
Surface ELO
5.1+10 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1532
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
86

Rus A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Kostovic T.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw