Gabriela Andrea Knutson vs Varvara LepchenkoUS Open Qualifying Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 128
#184WTA
1518ELO
1467Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 1st on
#181WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLWL
Andrea Knutson G.
6-1 7-5
Lepchenko V.
Andrea Knutson G.
672
Lepchenko V.
150

Gabriela Andrea Knutson defeated Varvara Lepchenko in the first round of US Open qualifying, 6-1, 7-5. Knutson converted 75% of her break points and won 74% of her first-serve points to secure the win. Knutson and Lepchenko were even in aces and double faults, with both players recording two aces and five double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
15
Break points saved·Dominant
80
17
Break points won·Clear edge
69
56
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
14
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Andrea Knutson G.57%
Lepchenko V.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1467
Surface ELO
6.1+91 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1518
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1578
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.34 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
92

Andrea Knutson G.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Lepchenko V.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw